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User-recommended papers allows you to suggest a paper you would like to see on Climate Change. When these papers appear on our site, users may comment and vote on them. To recommend a paper please use this form. Please note that you cannot recommend a paper you have authored. The editors will reject any self-recommendations. All comments and recommendation are checked by the editors and may be edited prior to publication on the site.

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  Climate Variability

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  • Assessing risks of climate variability and climate change for Indonesian rice agriculture

    • R. L. Naylor, D. S. Battisti, D. J. Vimont, W. P. Falcon, M. B. Burke
      Original article citation: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 104," (2007).

    • Categories: Climate Variability, Regional Climate, and Society
    • Recommended by the Editor: Olive Heffernan on 06/06/2007 09:21PM GMT
      
      This paper, which appeared in PNAS at the start of May, suggests that rice agriculture in Indonesia could suffer considerable damage as a result of long-term climate change. The researchers used a set of IPCC global climate models to look at how climate change could affect precipitation in Indonesia over the next 50 years. They found that the probability of harmful delays of more than 30 days could more than double by 2050.
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• 0 votes

  Climate Impacts

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  • Drought sensitivity shapes species distribution patterns in tropical forests

    • Bettina M. J. Engelbrecht, Liza S. Comita, Richard Condit, Thomas A. Kursar, Melvin T. Tyree, Benjamin L. Turner, Stephen P. Hubbell
      Original article citation: Nature 447," (2007).

    • Categories: Climate Impacts and Biodiversity & Ecology
    • Recommended by the Editor: Olive Heffernan on 06/06/2007 09:21PM GMT
      
      This paper, by Bettina Engelbrecht of the Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute in Panama and collegues, was published in Nature in early May. Based on a nice set of field experiments, the study suggests that changes in soil moisture availability caused by climate change, together with forest fragmentation, are likely to alter tropical species distributions, community structure and diversity in the future.
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• 2 votes

  Biodiversity & Ecology

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  • Projected Impacts of Climate and Land-Use Change on the Global Diversity of Birds

    • Walter Jetz, David S. Wilcove, Andrew P. Dobson
      Original article citation: Plos Biol 5," (2007).

    • Categories: Biodiversity & Ecology and Climate Impacts
    • Recommended by the Editor: Olive Heffernan on 06/06/2007 09:20PM GMT
      
      This recent paper by ecologist Walter Jetz and colleagues suggests that a combination of continuing climate change and land use change could be bad news for over 1,000 bird species worldwide. Over 50 species could potentially face future extinction, according to their study based on models created by the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment(MEA) project.
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• 6 votes

  Anthropogenic change

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  • Global and regional drivers of accelerating CO2 emissions

    • M. R. Raupach, G. Marland, P. Ciais, C. Le Quere, J. G. Canadell, G. Klepper, C. B. Field
      Original article citation: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences doi:10.1073/pnas.0700609104 (2007)

    • Categories: Anthropogenic change, Society, and Energy
    • Recommended by the Editor: Olive Heffernan on 06/06/2007 09:20PM GMT
      
      Perhaps unsurprising, but this paper by Raupach and coauthors shows that worldwide CO2 emissions increased more rapidly between 2000 and 2004 than predicted by even the worst case IPCC scenarios. The study shows that no region was decarbonizing its energy supply during this period and that CO2 emissions are accelerating worldwide, with China in the lead.
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• 1 vote

  Regional Climate

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  • Airborne measurements indicate large methane emissions from the eastern Amazon basin

    • John B. Miller, Luciana V. Gatti, Monica T. S. d'Amelio, Andrew M. Crotwell, Edward J. Dlugokencky, Peter Bakwin, Paulo Artaxo, Pieter P. Tans
      Original article citation: Geophys. Res. Lett. 34," (2007).

    • Categories: Regional Climate and Biodiversity & Ecology
    • Recommended by the Editor: Olive Heffernan on 06/06/2007 09:20PM GMT
      
      This paper by John B. Miller of NOAA and colleagues verifies that the eastern Amazon basin is emitting large quantities of the potent greenhouse gas methane. It suggests that scientists currently underestimate the tropics as a methane source.
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• 3 votes

  Biodiversity & Ecology

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  • Combined climate and carbon-cycle effects of large-scale deforestation

    • G. Bala, K. Caldeira, M. Wickett, T. J. Phillips, D. B. Lobell, C. Delire, A. Mirin
      Original article citation: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 104," (2007).

    • Categories: Biodiversity & Ecology and Mitigation
    • Recommended by the Editor: Olive Heffernan on 06/06/2007 09:20PM GMT
      
      This paper, from last month which we covered as a research highlight, has some interesting implications. Bala and colleagues modelled the temperature up to 2100 in a deforested world compared with a regular forested world. They found that removal of forests at high latitudes would actually temper global warming, as more sunlight would be reflected. The authors urge against chopping down trees to mitigate climate change, however, owing to their many other benefits!
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• 0 votes

  Atmospheric Sciences

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  • Increased tropical Atlantic wind shear in model projections of global warming

    • Gabriel A. Vecchi, Brian J. Soden
      Original article citation: Geophys. Res. Lett. 34," (2007).

    • Categories: Atmospheric Sciences and Extreme Events
    • Recommended by the Editor: Olive Heffernan on 06/06/2007 09:20PM GMT
      
      This paper, which we've covered as a research highlight, suggests that global warming may actually dampen Atlantic and East Pacific storms and prevent some forming through an increase in wind shear. It's interesting as the increase in Atlantic hurricanes has previously been attributed to human-induced cliamte change.
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• 2 votes

  Biodiversity & Ecology

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  • Rapid and Recent Changes in Fungal Fruiting Patterns

    • A. C. Gange, E. G. Gange, T. H. Sparks, L. Boddy
      Original article citation: Science 316," (2007).

    • Categories: Biodiversity & Ecology, Regional Climate, and Climate Impacts
    • Recommended by the Editor: Olive Heffernan on 06/06/2007 09:20PM GMT
      
      We have covered this paper as a highlight in NRCC. It's a really nice piece of work for a few reasons. Firstly, the study of 52,000 records of fungi from southern England shows that some fungi have now started to fruit twice a year as a result of climate change and that the fruiting season for fungi in southern England has more than doubled in the last half century. Secondly, the work was done by a father-and-son team of fungal enthusiasts. The father has been avidly spotting mushrooms for the past 50 years. And lastly, they took lots of great images of fungi, which are well worth checking out. Gets my vote!
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• 2 votes

  Climate Impacts

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  • Thermal Stress and Coral Cover as Drivers of Coral Disease Outbreaks

    • John F. Bruno, Elizabeth R. Selig, Kenneth S. Casey, Cathie A. Page, Bette L. Willis, C. Drew Harvell, Hugh Sweatman, Amy M. Melendy
      Original article citation: Plos Biol 5," (2007).

    • Categories: Climate Impacts, Ocean Sciences, and Biodiversity & Ecology
    • Recommended by the Editor: Olive Heffernan on 06/06/2007 09:19PM GMT
      
      A nice piece of work by John Bruno of the University of North Carolina, US and colleagues, which we've covered as a highlight on NRCC. They use high-res satellite imagery of ocean temperature with epidemiological inspections of corals to track the spread of white disease along Australia’s Great Barrier Reef over 6 years. It's the first conclusive evidence of a link between the frequency of warm years and the severity of the disease on corals.
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• 4 votes

  Biodiversity & Ecology

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  • Ecology: Global warming and amphibian losses

    • Ross A. Alford, Kay S. Bradfield, Stephen J. Richards
      Original article citation: Nature 447," (2007).

    • Categories: Biodiversity & Ecology and Climate Impacts
    • Recommended by the Editor: Olive Heffernan on 06/06/2007 09:19PM GMT
      
      Ross Alford and co-authors question whether global warming is really contributing to amphibian declines and extinctions by promoting outbreaks of a chytrid fungus, as suggested by Alan Pounds and colleagues in a 2006 Nature paper. Using data collected from declining and non-declining frog populations near northern Queensland, Australia, Alford and colleagues present evidence that multiyear warm periods may be more important in amphibian declines than single warm years.
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